Good thread by Grunch from a while back
Today I horribly misplayed a hand. .5/1NL, UTG tag opens, I call ATs, all else fold. Flop K48hh, he checks to me.
What can I do here? Do I just check down since I have some sd value? Do I bet and just hope to take the pot away?
I think that most players will typically bet/fold nearly all their air here…I suppose occasionally they’ll check/fold some air, but it’s typically a pretty decent flop for their range. They opened UTG, they can represent Kx+ and a whole myriad of hands, thus forcing me to usually just call with a ton of my continuing range. (Not sure if that makes sense).
When a person checks on a board like this as the PFR, I would think they typically have some mediumish hand. JJ/TT/QQ/sometimes Kx. I would think that they bet the flop as well with a semi bluff (hearts) type hand most times.
I think I probably should have just checked down. i think that once he checks the flop, he’s calling at least one street and it’s going to be pricy to fire a few more streets.
It’s probably not the best line to take in an overall balance sense…but I suppose it’s a good line to take vs. aggressive opponents (and when you’re not afraid to make bigger calls).
With that said, I decided to bet. Turn was 5h, he checks again, I decide to bet the turn and then bet the river.
Poorly played…just not good. My range for betting is probably pretty thin in his eyes- flushes, sets, something like KQ probably, etc. He ended up check calling AK 3-streets against me, very odd.
It was just a poor hand played all around by me. I not only decided to idiotically 3-barrel but my bet sizing was atrocious…I suppose i could maybe get him to fold something like TT/JJ/QQ but mmmm…I think if I do decide to bet that river, I should make it larger…since after he c/cs the turn, he’s probably c/c-ing the river in most cases…and as stated, I think he bets the flop typically with a flush draw. So maybe a jam? I don’t know.
The point is, I should not have bet this flop. Am I being results oriented? Maybe…but I think overall, a flop check is probably best. Betting the flop led me to believe that barreling away/trying to win the pot was the best way to continue, something I really need to work on. I had no semblance of ranges, just blunt aggression, an idiot clicking buttons. Sigh.
Live and learn I guess.